USA score at least 7 goals in the group stage of the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup
7+ goals is priced at 20¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 11¢ bid, 20¢ ask, 9¢ spread. This outcome ranks #6 of 9 inside Will USA score at least.
Price history
20¢ current
+16¢Contract brief
If USA records at least 7 goals during the group stage (including regulation and stoppage time) of the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
7+ goals
Rank
#6 of 9
Leader
2+ goals 89¢
Range
3¢-89¢
Family volume
$45
Identifier
KXWCTEAMGOALS-26USA-7
May 28, 2026, 6:08 PM UTC · 1m ago
Implied probability
Bid
11¢
Ask
20¢
Spread
9¢
24h volume
$7
Family rank
#6 of 9
9 outcomes · Will USA score at least
Closes
Jul 12, 2026
Family volume
$45
Orderbook snapshot
11 / 20¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If USA records at least 7 goals during the group stage (including regulation and stoppage time) of the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 12, 2026
Identifier
KXWCTEAMGOALS-26USA-7
Event family
Will USA score at least.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$45
Outcomes
9
Highest price
2+ goals 89¢
Current share
16%
2+ goals
kalshi · KXWCTEAMGOALS-26USA-2
3+ goals
kalshi · KXWCTEAMGOALS-26USA-3
4+ goals
kalshi · KXWCTEAMGOALS-26USA-4
5+ goals
kalshi · KXWCTEAMGOALS-26USA-5
6+ goals
kalshi · KXWCTEAMGOALS-26USA-6
7+ goals
kalshi · KXWCTEAMGOALS-26USA-7
10+ goals
kalshi · KXWCTEAMGOALS-26USA-10
8+ goals
kalshi · KXWCTEAMGOALS-26USA-8
12+ goals
kalshi · KXWCTEAMGOALS-26USA-12
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Related readings
Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)
Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.
Computing Liquidity Availability Score from the Orderbook
Step-by-step guide to computing the Liquidity Availability Score in TypeScript and Python, with edge cases for thin orderbooks, missing data, and the warm-cron coverage limitation.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?
In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.
Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets
Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.
Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity
How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity
Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.
SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 20% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.