USA score at least 8 goals in the group stage of the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup
8+ goals is priced at 12¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 4¢ bid, 12¢ ask, 8¢ spread. This outcome ranks #8 of 9 inside Will USA score at least.
Price history
12¢ current
+8¢Contract brief
If USA records at least 8 goals during the group stage (including regulation and stoppage time) of the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
8+ goals
Rank
#8 of 9
Leader
2+ goals 89¢
Range
3¢-89¢
Family volume
$45
Identifier
KXWCTEAMGOALS-26USA-8
May 28, 2026, 8:38 PM UTC · 6m ago
Implied probability
Bid
4¢
Ask
12¢
Spread
8¢
24h volume
$13
Family rank
#8 of 9
9 outcomes · Will USA score at least
Closes
Jul 12, 2026
Family volume
$45
Orderbook snapshot
4 / 12¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If USA records at least 8 goals during the group stage (including regulation and stoppage time) of the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 12, 2026
Identifier
KXWCTEAMGOALS-26USA-8
Event family
Will USA score at least.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$45
Outcomes
9
Highest price
2+ goals 89¢
Current share
30%
2+ goals
kalshi · KXWCTEAMGOALS-26USA-2
3+ goals
kalshi · KXWCTEAMGOALS-26USA-3
4+ goals
kalshi · KXWCTEAMGOALS-26USA-4
5+ goals
kalshi · KXWCTEAMGOALS-26USA-5
6+ goals
kalshi · KXWCTEAMGOALS-26USA-6
7+ goals
kalshi · KXWCTEAMGOALS-26USA-7
10+ goals
kalshi · KXWCTEAMGOALS-26USA-10
8+ goals
kalshi · KXWCTEAMGOALS-26USA-8
12+ goals
kalshi · KXWCTEAMGOALS-26USA-12
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.