What is the current probability for "Will USC qualify for the College Baseball World Series?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 17¢ (17% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on June 26, 2026. 62 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Will USC qualify for the College Baseball World Series?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 14066.6% and 24.4% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Will USC qualify for the College Baseball World Series?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Will USC qualify for the College Baseball World Series?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 17% probability that Will USC qualify for the College Baseball World Series?. This contract trades at 17¢ on Kalshi, closing June 26, 2026. This market shows zero liquidity with no 24-hour volume and no open interest, making the 0¢ price unreliable and the 17,378% implied yield on the Yes side meaningless.

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17¢mid

Bid/Ask 4/29¢·Spread 25¢·Vol $0·OI $0·Closes Jun 26, 2026·62d remaining

KXNCAABBPLAYOFFS-26-USC

7-day price7 snapshots · 4 regime

9¢4¢ current

Apr 183¢Apr 22

Analysis

5d ago

This market shows zero liquidity with no 24-hour volume and no open interest, making the 0¢ price unreliable and the 17,378% implied yield on the Yes side meaningless. The 93¢ spread is extraordinarily wide, reflecting the complete absence of market participants willing to trade at either extreme. With 68 days until expiry and USC's baseball program historically competitive, the zero price likely represents a technical artifact rather than genuine market consensus, and any trade would face severe slippage given the illiquid conditions.

Resolution rules

If USC qualifies for the College Baseball World Series in the 2026 season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 14066.6%

IY (No) 24.4%

Adj IY 7033%

CRI 24

Overround 4.0%

▶ Full indicator table (5)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	14066.6%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	24.4%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	7033%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	24	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
Overround	4.0%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

25¢

Computed

4/25/2026, 7:28:57 AM

Indicators computed 4/25/2026, 7:23:44 AM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXNCAABBPLAYOFFS-26-USC yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →