Will USD/CAD hit 1.10 (Low) in 2026?

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume despite $559k open interest, and the 45¢ spread (166% of the current price) suggests significant pricing uncertainty. The 381.5% implied yield on the "Yes" side is unusually high relative to the 52.2% yield on "No," indicating either strong conviction that USD/CAD won't reach 1.10 or a severe liquidity crunch driving the asymmetry. With 259 days to expiration and the pair currently trading well above 1.10, the 27% probability appears reasonable, though the lack of recent price discovery and extreme spread warrant caution before taking a position.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com low price (“L”) for any USD/CAD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday. This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/CAD hourly candle low price is equal to or below the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date. This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “L” figure located at the top of the USD/CAD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-cad-chart).

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