Will USD/KRW hit 1700 (High) in 2026?

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume despite $612.625 open interest and a wide 15¢ spread, suggesting difficulty executing trades at the quoted 19¢ price. The 643% implied yield on the "Yes" side is extraordinarily high relative to the 31% yield on "No," indicating either significant mispricing or market participants pricing in substantial tail risk for USD/KRW reaching 1700 by end-2026—a move that would require the won to weaken roughly 8-10% from current levels. The realized volatility of 718% and 3.10 vol ratio, combined with a recent price decline from 22¢ to 19¢ over seven days, suggest the market may be repricing downward, though the low information arrival rate (1.2/h) and neutral regime indicate limited new catalysts are driving conviction either direction.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any USD/KRW hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday. This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/KRW hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date. This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the USD/KRW Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-krw-chart).

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