SimpleFunctions

Valentin Royer to win the Royer vs Djokovic

Valentin Royer is priced at 12¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 11¢ bid, 12¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 2 inside KXATPMATCH-26MAY27ROYDJO.

Price history

12¢ current

+5¢
10¢
May 24, 2026May 25, 2026

Contract brief

If Valentin Royer wins the Royer vs Djokovic professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Men Singles Round Of 64 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Valentin Royer

Rank

#2 of 2

Leader

Novak Djokovic 88¢

Range

11¢-88¢

Family volume

$7K

Identifier

KXATPMATCH-26MAY27ROYDJO-ROY

May 25, 2026, 3:38 PM UTC · 3m ago

Implied probability

12¢
Latest venue quote
May 25, 2026, 3:38 PM UTC · 3m ago

Bid

11¢

Ask

12¢

Spread

24h volume

$3K

Family rank

#2 of 2

2 outcomes · KXATPMATCH-26MAY27ROYDJO

Closes

Jun 10, 2026

Family volume

$7K

Orderbook snapshot

11 / 12¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
11¢12K
10¢14K
9¢11K
8¢6.8K
7¢1.4K
AskSize
12¢1.3K
13¢13K
14¢14K
15¢9.6K
16¢3.7K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Valentin Royer wins the Royer vs Djokovic professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Men Singles Round Of 64 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 10, 2026

Identifier

KXATPMATCH-26MAY27ROYDJO-ROY

SF Signal
SF Index
8537.61
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXATPMATCH-26MAY27ROYDJO.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$7K

Outcomes

2

Highest price

Novak Djokovic 88¢

Current share

47%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

18782.6%
286.9%
Adj IY
8538%
8
LAS
0.09

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.