SimpleFunctions

Voca · KXCS2GAME-26MAY282100VOCM80

Voca is priced at 24¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 21¢ bid, 25¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 2 inside KXCS2GAME-26MAY282100VOCM80.

Price history

24¢ current

10¢20¢
May 28, 2026May 28, 2026

Contract brief

If Voca wins the ESL Challenger League North America Finals 2026: Voca vs. M80 CS2 match originally scheduled for May 28, 2026 at 9:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Voca

Rank

#2 of 2

Leader

M80 74¢

Range

21¢-74¢

Family volume

$266

Identifier

KXCS2GAME-26MAY282100VOCM80-VOC

May 28, 2026, 6:08 PM UTC · 1m ago

Implied probability

24¢
Latest venue quote
May 28, 2026, 6:08 PM UTC · 1m ago

Bid

21¢

Ask

25¢

Spread

24h volume

$98

Family rank

#2 of 2

2 outcomes · KXCS2GAME-26MAY282100VOCM80

Closes

Jun 12, 2026

Family volume

$266

Orderbook snapshot

21 / 25¢

Kalshi
4¢ spread
BidSize
21¢3.0K
20¢548
19¢500
16¢500
15¢1.5K
AskSize
25¢684
26¢3.3K
27¢500
28¢500
29¢200

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Voca wins the ESL Challenger League North America Finals 2026: Voca vs. M80 CS2 match originally scheduled for May 28, 2026 at 9:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 12, 2026

Identifier

KXCS2GAME-26MAY282100VOCM80-VOC

SF Signal
SF Index
9611.47
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXCS2GAME-26MAY282100VOCM80.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$266

Outcomes

2

Highest price

M80 74¢

Current share

29%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

9611.5%

IY (No)

679.2%

Adj IY

9611%

CRI

4

RV

5366%

VR

4.72

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

9611.5%
679.2%
Adj IY
9611%
4
RV
5366%
VR
4.72
IAR
1.3/h

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.