Wale · KXHURRICANENAMES-26DEC01CPAC
Wale is priced at 10¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 30¢ ask, 30¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 5 inside KXHURRICANENAMES-26DEC01CPAC.
Price history
10¢ current
−10¢Contract brief
If a storm named Wale is a storm categorized as a hurricane in the Central Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Wale
Rank
#5 of 5
Leader
Nolo 20¢
Range
10¢-20¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXHURRICANENAMES-26DEC01CPAC-WAL
Jun 7, 2026, 6:08 AM UTC · 1m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
30¢
Spread
30¢
Reported volume
$2
Family rank
#5 of 5
5 outcomes · KXHURRICANENAMES-26DEC01CPAC
Closes
Dec 1, 2026
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 30¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If a storm named Wale is a storm categorized as a hurricane in the Central Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 1, 2026
Identifier
KXHURRICANENAMES-26DEC01CPAC-WAL
Event family
KXHURRICANENAMES-26DEC01CPAC.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
5
Highest price
Nolo 20¢
Current share
—
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
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Realtime Data API
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World State API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.