Seattle, WA · Will Waymo operate ride-hailing
Seattle, WA is priced at 39¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 34¢ bid, 39¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #7 of 10 inside Will Waymo operate ride-hailing.
Price history
39¢ current
+37¢Contract brief
If Waymo is operating commercial autonomous vehicle ride-hailing services available to the general public within Seattle, WA before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Seattle, WA
Rank
#7 of 10
Leader
San Diego, CA 79¢
Range
27¢-79¢
Family volume
$43
Identifier
KXWAYMOCITY-26DEC-SEA
May 27, 2026, 5:38 PM UTC · 23m ago
Implied probability
Bid
34¢
Ask
39¢
Spread
5¢
24h volume
$12
Family rank
#7 of 10
10 outcomes · Will Waymo operate ride-hailing
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Family volume
$43
Orderbook snapshot
34 / 39¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Waymo is operating commercial autonomous vehicle ride-hailing services available to the general public within Seattle, WA before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Identifier
KXWAYMOCITY-26DEC-SEA
Event family
Will Waymo operate ride-hailing.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$43
Outcomes
10
Highest price
San Diego, CA 79¢
Current share
29%
San Diego, CA
kalshi · KXWAYMOCITY-26DEC-SAN
Las Vegas, NV
kalshi · KXWAYMOCITY-26DEC-LAS
Tampa, FL
kalshi · KXWAYMOCITY-26DEC-TAM
Denver, CO
kalshi · KXWAYMOCITY-26DEC-DEN
Detroit, MI
kalshi · KXWAYMOCITY-26DEC-DET
Sacramento, CA
kalshi · KXWAYMOCITY-26DEC-SAC
Seattle, WA
kalshi · KXWAYMOCITY-26DEC-SEA
London, UK
kalshi · KXWAYMOCITY-26DEC-LON
Washington, DC
kalshi · KXWAYMOCITY-26DEC-DC
Portland, OR
kalshi · KXWAYMOCITY-26DEC-POR
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.432
Observability
medium
Event type
financial
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.