Denver, CO · Will Waymo operate ride-hailing
Denver, CO is priced at 88¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 84¢ bid, 88¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 16 inside Will Waymo operate ride-hailing.
Price history
88¢ current
+4¢Contract brief
If Waymo is operating commercial autonomous vehicle ride-hailing services available to the general public within Denver, CO before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Denver, CO
Rank
#3 of 16
Leader
Las Vegas, NV 93¢
Range
2¢-93¢
Family volume
$1K
Identifier
KXWAYMOCITY-26DEC-DEN
Sep 17, 2026, 10:38 PM UTC · 24m ago
Implied probability
Bid
84¢
Ask
88¢
Spread
4¢
24h volume
$55
Family rank
#3 of 16
16 outcomes · Will Waymo operate ride-hailing
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Family volume
$1K
Orderbook snapshot
84 / 88¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Waymo is operating commercial autonomous vehicle ride-hailing services available to the general public within Denver, CO before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Identifier
KXWAYMOCITY-26DEC-DEN
Event family
Will Waymo operate ride-hailing.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$1K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Las Vegas, NV 93¢
Current share
6%
Las Vegas, NV
kalshi · KXWAYMOCITY-26DEC-LAS
Tampa, FL
kalshi · KXWAYMOCITY-26DEC-TAM
Denver, CO
kalshi · KXWAYMOCITY-26DEC-DEN
Sacramento, CA
kalshi · KXWAYMOCITY-26DEC-SAC
Charlotte, NC
kalshi · KXWAYMOCITY-26DEC-CHAR
Detroit, MI
kalshi · KXWAYMOCITY-26DEC-DET
Philadelphia, PA
kalshi · KXWAYMOCITY-26DEC-PHIL
London, UK
kalshi · KXWAYMOCITY-26DEC-LON
New York, NY
kalshi · KXWAYMOCITY-26DEC-NY
Seattle, WA
kalshi · KXWAYMOCITY-26DEC-SEA
Washington, DC
kalshi · KXWAYMOCITY-26DEC-DC
Boston, MA
kalshi · KXWAYMOCITY-26DEC-BOST
Chicago, IL
kalshi · KXWAYMOCITY-26DEC-CHIC
Minneapolis, MN
kalshi · KXWAYMOCITY-26DEC-MINN
Baltimore, MD
kalshi · KXWAYMOCITY-26DEC-BALT
New Orleans, LA
kalshi · KXWAYMOCITY-26DEC-NEW
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.432
Observability
medium
Event type
financial
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.