West Wilson to be cast in Summer House
West Wilson is priced at 41¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 5¢ bid, 96¢ ask, 91¢ spread. This outcome ranks #13 of 13 inside KXSUMMERHOUSECAST-27.
Price history
41¢ current
+39¢Contract brief
If West Wilson is cast in Summer House: Season 11 before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
West Wilson
Rank
#13 of 13
Leader
Mia Calabrese 55¢
Range
5¢-55¢
Family volume
$399
Identifier
KXSUMMERHOUSECAST-27-WES
May 24, 2026, 12:38 PM UTC · 1m ago
Implied probability
Bid
5¢
Ask
96¢
Spread
91¢
Reported volume
$22
Family rank
#13 of 13
13 outcomes · KXSUMMERHOUSECAST-27
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$399
Orderbook snapshot
5 / 96¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If West Wilson is cast in Summer House: Season 11 before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXSUMMERHOUSECAST-27-WES
Event family
KXSUMMERHOUSECAST-27.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$399
Outcomes
13
Highest price
Mia Calabrese 55¢
Current share
0%
Mia Calabrese
kalshi · KXSUMMERHOUSECAST-27-MIA
KJ Dillard
kalshi · KXSUMMERHOUSECAST-27-KJD
Kyle Cooke
kalshi · KXSUMMERHOUSECAST-27-KYL
Ben Waddell
kalshi · KXSUMMERHOUSECAST-27-BEN
Levi Sebree
kalshi · KXSUMMERHOUSECAST-27-LEV
Carl Radke
kalshi · KXSUMMERHOUSECAST-27-CAR
Jesse Solomon
kalshi · KXSUMMERHOUSECAST-27-JES
Dara Levitan
kalshi · KXSUMMERHOUSECAST-27-DAR
Lindsay Hubbard
kalshi · KXSUMMERHOUSECAST-27-LIN
Ciara Miller
kalshi · KXSUMMERHOUSECAST-27-CIA
Bailey Taylor
kalshi · KXSUMMERHOUSECAST-27-BAI
Amanda Batula
kalshi · KXSUMMERHOUSECAST-27-AMA
West Wilson
kalshi · KXSUMMERHOUSECAST-27-WES
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.