William Contreras · KXLEADERMLBHITS-26
William Contreras is priced at 4¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 4¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #6 of 16 inside KXLEADERMLBHITS-26.
Price history
4¢ current
Contract brief
If William Contreras leads Pro Baseball in hits for the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
William Contreras
Rank
#6 of 16
Leader
Luis Arraez 24¢
Range
1¢-24¢
Family volume
$12
Identifier
KXLEADERMLBHITS-26-WCON
May 24, 2026, 1:08 PM UTC · 18m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
4¢
Spread
4¢
Reported volume
$11
Family rank
#6 of 16
16 outcomes · KXLEADERMLBHITS-26
Closes
Oct 22, 2026
Family volume
$12
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 4¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If William Contreras leads Pro Baseball in hits for the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Oct 22, 2026
Identifier
KXLEADERMLBHITS-26-WCON
Event family
KXLEADERMLBHITS-26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$12
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Luis Arraez 24¢
Current share
0%
Luis Arraez
kalshi · KXLEADERMLBHITS-26-LARR
Bobby Witt Jr.
kalshi · KXLEADERMLBHITS-26-BWIT
Nick Kurtz
kalshi · KXLEADERMLBHITS-26-NKUR
Brice Turang
kalshi · KXLEADERMLBHITS-26-BTUR
Corbin Carroll
kalshi · KXLEADERMLBHITS-26-CCAR
William Contreras
kalshi · KXLEADERMLBHITS-26-WCON
Alex Bregman
kalshi · KXLEADERMLBHITS-26-ABRE
Aaron Judge
kalshi · KXLEADERMLBHITS-26-AJUD
Austin Riley
kalshi · KXLEADERMLBHITS-26-ARIL
Adley Rutschman
kalshi · KXLEADERMLBHITS-26-ARUT
Bryce Harper
kalshi · KXLEADERMLBHITS-26-BHAR
Bryan Reynolds
kalshi · KXLEADERMLBHITS-26-BREY
Brent Rooker
kalshi · KXLEADERMLBHITS-26-BROO
Cody Bellinger
kalshi · KXLEADERMLBHITS-26-CBEL
Bo Bichette
kalshi · KXLEADERMLBHITS-26-BBIC
Andy Pages
kalshi · KXLEADERMLBHITS-26-APAG
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
taker
Score
0.636
Observability
direct
Event type
sports
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.