SimpleFunctions

Alex Bregman · KXLEADERMLBHITS-26

Alex Bregman is priced at 4¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 4¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #6 of 16 inside KXLEADERMLBHITS-26.

Price history

4¢ current

0¢5¢
May 28, 2026May 28, 2026

Contract brief

If Alex Bregman leads Pro Baseball in hits for the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Alex Bregman

Rank

#6 of 16

Leader

Luis Arraez 21¢

Range

1¢-21¢

Family volume

$49

Identifier

KXLEADERMLBHITS-26-ABRE

May 28, 2026, 7:38 PM UTC · 8m ago

Implied probability

4¢
Latest venue quote
May 28, 2026, 7:38 PM UTC · 8m ago

Bid

Ask

Spread

Reported volume

$1

Family rank

#6 of 16

16 outcomes · KXLEADERMLBHITS-26

Closes

Oct 22, 2026

Family volume

$49

Orderbook snapshot

0 / 4¢

Kalshi
4¢ spread
BidSize
AskSize
4¢161
6¢500
24¢10
29¢10
34¢10

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Alex Bregman leads Pro Baseball in hits for the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Oct 22, 2026

Identifier

KXLEADERMLBHITS-26-ABRE

SF Signal
SF Index
2984.36
Regime
neutral

Browse this series

MLB Hits Leader Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXLEADERMLBHITS series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

5968.7%

IY (No)

10.4%

Adj IY

2984%

CRI

24

Overround

1.9%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.341

Observability

low

Event type

sports

Full indicator table

5968.7%
10.4%
Adj IY
2984%
24
Overround
1.9%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.