Will xAI release Grok 5 before Jan 1, 2027?
This contract is priced at 86¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 86¢ bid, 95¢ ask, 9¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
3
Family volume
$304
Best sibling
Before July 14¢
Ticker
KXGROK-GROK5-27JAN01
Market snapshot
Before 2027 in market context.
This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will xAI release Grok 5 before Jan 1, 2027?. The displayed quote is 86¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $2K. In the Will xAI release Grok 5 before family, this outcome ranks #1 of 3 by current quote across 3 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC.
Outcome
Before 2027
Family rank
#1 of 3
Venue
Kalshi
Current quote
86¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Jan 1, 2027
Reported volume
$2K
Family context
3 outcomes · Will xAI release Grok 5 before
Quote range
14¢-86¢
Family leader
Before 2027 86¢
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC · 6m ago
Venue identifier: KXGROK-GROK5-27JAN01. Family volume: $304.
Price history
86¢ current
Orderbook snapshot
86 / 95¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If xAI releases Grok 5 before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXGROK-GROK5-27JAN01
Event family
Will xAI release Grok 5 before.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$304
Outcomes
3
Highest price
Before 2027 86¢
Current share
0%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.432
Observability
medium
Event type
financial
Full indicator table
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