Sacramento · Will Xavier Becerra win
Sacramento is priced at 69¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 56¢ bid, 81¢ ask, 25¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 10 inside Will Xavier Becerra win.
Price history
69¢ current
+13¢Contract brief
If Xavier Becerra wins the the first round of the 2026 California gubernatorial election in Sacramento County, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Sacramento
Rank
#2 of 10
Leader
Los Angeles 73¢
Range
2¢-73¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXPRIMARYCOUNTY-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST-SACR
May 24, 2026, 7:38 AM UTC · 4m ago
Implied probability
Bid
56¢
Ask
81¢
Spread
25¢
Reported volume
$0
Family rank
#2 of 10
10 outcomes · Will Xavier Becerra win
Closes
Jun 2, 2027
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
56 / 81¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Xavier Becerra wins the the first round of the 2026 California gubernatorial election in Sacramento County, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 2, 2027
Identifier
KXPRIMARYCOUNTY-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST-SACR
Event family
Will Xavier Becerra win.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
10
Highest price
Los Angeles 73¢
Current share
—
Los Angeles
kalshi · KXPRIMARYCOUNTY-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST-LANG
Sacramento
kalshi · KXPRIMARYCOUNTY-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST-SACR
Monterey
kalshi · KXPRIMARYCOUNTY-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST-MONT
Santa Clara
kalshi · KXPRIMARYCOUNTY-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST-SCLA
San Diego
kalshi · KXPRIMARYCOUNTY-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST-SDIE
Ventura
kalshi · KXPRIMARYCOUNTY-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST-VENT
San Bernardino
kalshi · KXPRIMARYCOUNTY-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST-SBER
Fresno
kalshi · KXPRIMARYCOUNTY-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST-FRES
Contra Costa
kalshi · KXPRIMARYCOUNTY-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST-CCOS
Riverside
kalshi · KXPRIMARYCOUNTY-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST-RIVE
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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Event Probability API
Read 69% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.