You seem pretty sad for a girl so in love have at least 425,000 Activity (Combined Sales) on the Hits Daily Double Top 50 Chart for the week immediately following the wide release of you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love
At least 425,000 is priced at 42¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 26¢ bid, 40¢ ask, 14¢ spread. This outcome ranks #14 of 16 inside Will you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love have at least.
Price history
42¢ current
+23¢Contract brief
If you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love by Olivia Rodrigo has at least 425,000 Activity (Combined Sales) on the Hits Daily Double Top 50 Chart for the week immediately following the wide release of you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
At least 425,000
Rank
#14 of 16
Leader
At least 100,000 95¢
Range
12¢-95¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXALBUMSALES-YOUS-ACT-425000
Jun 5, 2026, 6:08 PM UTC · 22m ago
Implied probability
Bid
26¢
Ask
40¢
Spread
14¢
Reported volume
$143
Family rank
#14 of 16
16 outcomes · Will you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love have at least
Closes
Jun 19, 2026
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
26 / 40¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love by Olivia Rodrigo has at least 425,000 Activity (Combined Sales) on the Hits Daily Double Top 50 Chart for the week immediately following the wide release of you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 19, 2026
Identifier
KXALBUMSALES-YOUS-ACT-425000
Event family
Will you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love have at least.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
16
Highest price
At least 100,000 95¢
Current share
—
At least 100,000
kalshi · KXALBUMSALES-YOUS-ACT-100000
At least 200,000
kalshi · KXALBUMSALES-YOUS-ACT-200000
At least 175,000
kalshi · KXALBUMSALES-YOUS-ACT-175000
At least 125,000
kalshi · KXALBUMSALES-YOUS-ACT-125000
At least 300,000
kalshi · KXALBUMSALES-YOUS-ACT-300000
At least 150,000
kalshi · KXALBUMSALES-YOUS-ACT-150000
At least 225,000
kalshi · KXALBUMSALES-YOUS-ACT-225000
At least 250,000
kalshi · KXALBUMSALES-YOUS-ACT-250000
At least 275,000
kalshi · KXALBUMSALES-YOUS-ACT-275000
At least 350,000
kalshi · KXALBUMSALES-YOUS-ACT-350000
At least 325,000
kalshi · KXALBUMSALES-YOUS-ACT-325000
At least 375,000
kalshi · KXALBUMSALES-YOUS-ACT-375000
At least 400,000
kalshi · KXALBUMSALES-YOUS-ACT-400000
At least 425,000
kalshi · KXALBUMSALES-YOUS-ACT-425000
At least 450,000
kalshi · KXALBUMSALES-YOUS-ACT-450000
At least 475,000
kalshi · KXALBUMSALES-YOUS-ACT-475000
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
taker
Score
0.636
Observability
direct
Event type
cultural
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 42% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.