You seem pretty sad for a girl so in love have at least 250,000 Pure Album Sales on the Hits Daily Double Top 50 Chart for the week immediately following the wide release of you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love
At least 250,000 albums is priced at 45¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 34¢ bid, 45¢ ask, 11¢ spread. This outcome ranks #10 of 10 inside Will you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love have at least.
Price history
45¢ current
+22¢Contract brief
If you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love by Olivia Rodrigo has at least 250,000 Pure Album Sales on the Hits Daily Double Top 50 Chart for the week immediately following the wide release of you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
At least 250,000 albums
Rank
#10 of 10
Leader
At least 25,000 albums 96¢
Range
34¢-96¢
Family volume
$158
Identifier
KXALBUMSALES-YOUS-PURE-250000
May 24, 2026, 4:38 PM UTC · 29m ago
Implied probability
Bid
34¢
Ask
45¢
Spread
11¢
24h volume
$31
Family rank
#10 of 10
10 outcomes · Will you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love have at least
Closes
Jun 19, 2026
Family volume
$158
Orderbook snapshot
34 / 45¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love by Olivia Rodrigo has at least 250,000 Pure Album Sales on the Hits Daily Double Top 50 Chart for the week immediately following the wide release of you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 19, 2026
Identifier
KXALBUMSALES-YOUS-PURE-250000
Event family
Will you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love have at least.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$158
Outcomes
10
Highest price
At least 25,000 albums 96¢
Current share
20%
At least 25,000 albums
kalshi · KXALBUMSALES-YOUS-PURE-25000
At least 150,000 albums
kalshi · KXALBUMSALES-YOUS-PURE-150000
At least 50,000 albums
kalshi · KXALBUMSALES-YOUS-PURE-50000
At least 75,000 albums
kalshi · KXALBUMSALES-YOUS-PURE-75000
At least 100,000 albums
kalshi · KXALBUMSALES-YOUS-PURE-100000
At least 125,000 albums
kalshi · KXALBUMSALES-YOUS-PURE-125000
At least 175,000 albums
kalshi · KXALBUMSALES-YOUS-PURE-175000
At least 200,000 albums
kalshi · KXALBUMSALES-YOUS-PURE-200000
At least 225,000 albums
kalshi · KXALBUMSALES-YOUS-PURE-225000
At least 250,000 albums
kalshi · KXALBUMSALES-YOUS-PURE-250000
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Observability
high
Event type
cultural
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 45% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.