SimpleFunctions
PolymarketAug 11, 202694 days left

Will Tom Tiffany win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Republican primary election?

This contract is priced at 90¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 89¢ bid, 90¢ ask, 1¢ spread.

Implied probability

90¢
$7K volume
$16K liquidity
8% of event volume

Event outcomes

8

Family volume

$82K

Best sibling

Sean Duffy 1¢

Ticker

0x12df229a…f397

Market snapshot

Tom Tiffany in market context.

This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will Tom Tiffany win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Republican primary election?. The displayed quote is 90¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $7K. In the Wisconsin Governor Republican Primary Winner family, this outcome ranks #1 of 8 by current quote across 8 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 5:53 AM UTC.

Outcome

Tom Tiffany

Family rank

#1 of 8

Venue

Polymarket

Current quote

90¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Aug 11, 2026

Reported volume

$7K

Family context

8 outcomes · Wisconsin Governor Republican Primary Winner

Quote range

1¢-90¢

Family leader

Tom Tiffany 90¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 5:53 AM UTC · 9m ago

Venue identifier: 0x12df229a62606175655181a6e8cbef0f037ac41612b61d67b0658dcf8633f397. Family volume: $82K.

Price history

90¢ current

+2¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 10, 2026May 7, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

89 / 90¢

Polymarket
1¢ spread
BidSize
89¢353
88¢404
86¢20
55¢111
53¢170
50¢200
49¢343
45¢333
AskSize
90¢400
91¢1.3K
92¢1.4K
93¢1.7K
94¢204
95¢150
97¢40
98¢1.0K

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Aug 11, 2026

Identifier

0x12df229a…f397

Cross-venue match

Similar contract on kalshi at 89¢, +1¢ versus this page.

View counterpart

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

43.3%
3503.8%
Adj IY
1752%
9

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