SimpleFunctions

Gabby Williams · WNBA: 2026 MVP

Gabby Williams is priced at 25¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 0¢ bid, 50¢ ask, 50¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 14 inside WNBA: 2026 MVP.

Price history

25¢ current

1¢
0¢25¢
May 17, 2026May 26, 2026

Contract brief

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 WNBA Most Valuable Player Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by WNBA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 WNBA season is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Women’s National Basketball Association; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome

Gabby Williams

Rank

#4 of 14

Leader

Alyssa Thomas 26¢

Range

4¢-26¢

Family volume

$2K

Identifier

0xe46edd87...bf22

May 26, 2026, 7:38 PM UTC · 8m ago

Implied probability

25¢
Latest venue quote
May 26, 2026, 7:38 PM UTC · 8m ago

Bid

Ask

50¢

Spread

50¢

Reported volume

$140

Family rank

#4 of 14

14 outcomes · WNBA: 2026 MVP

Closes

Sep 25, 2026

Family volume

$2K

Orderbook snapshot

0 / 50¢

Polymarket
50¢ spread
BidSize
0¢2.3K
0¢360
0¢198
0¢100
AskSize
50¢40
50¢100
65¢15
65¢25
65¢25
65¢125
91¢9
91¢100

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 WNBA Most Valuable Player Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by WNBA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 WNBA season is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Women’s National Basketball Association; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Sep 25, 2026

Identifier

0xe46edd87…bf22

SF Signal
SF Index
903.60
Regime
neutral

Event family

WNBA: 2026 MVP.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$2K

Outcomes

14

Highest price

Alyssa Thomas 26¢

Current share

7%

OutcomePriceVolume24hDepth

Alyssa Thomas

polymarket · 0x79386f11870a3d1d0fb901cf3d724b4fb018982747a27582f5648ea7eebf0926

26¢
$173$0

Paige Bueckers

polymarket · 0x443ee0b3a5eee193a3972169675a12e24796a5e8d36fc6da8d46b51dee41386b

26¢
$140$0

Rhyne Howard

polymarket · 0x3eac1347c70960f08b1136aa4431e711bc5400a614309ae5425f52d929cb0661

26¢
$60$0

Caitlin Clark

polymarket · 0x8ac9d0ba418fd9928001908a744ed3a93a520dc7713337ce8da67405d404894b

25¢
$185$0

Gabby Williams

polymarket · 0xe46edd870945cb979de2fd2bc559925a71ac6fb0f8a250b973c11442a2bbbf22

25¢
$140$0

Nneka Ogwumike

polymarket · 0x349c4e4e139ba431109aea54b7ad5b6048aced812f0a32958d7e999ee1ac911d

25¢
$140$0

A'ja Wilson

polymarket · 0x40ce87dc8756e9f36aa6540bcf8e9af2e344c1aff80100a25e84a112477518a8

25¢
$140$0

Jackie Young

polymarket · 0x6af59ff15e59e4308a35ae3ff7b2bccdcad0876d6cccec48773fe5c04acb694b

25¢
$140$0

Sabrina Ionescu

polymarket · 0x7b872e230d04e3f6a7979a0e32b9eaf5925ea90969a2e0c3431522dc1ad6883a

25¢
$140$0

Satou Sabally

polymarket · 0x2a055e5d2e8596d7b4744fde2f03a273bdaa97c3427c3e0138da4fec64dfcfd8

25¢
$60$0

Breanna Stewart

polymarket · 0xeba1e5307d81f412466c257fecff01e1aed5915ac3153489cab2b0d3c32c5fb9

19¢
$153$01.4

Kelsey Plum

polymarket · 0xa8d1171c121e71eb0ec2e3aaa94e2c44320c021fef172df093c27716d38583d5

5¢
$140$0

Napheesa Collier

polymarket · 0x8396243da6f1e4e9b1f7fe2290e87c1f24a8923f7ec5a8b8ab4abb6cba28ab48

4¢
$178$0

Allisha Gray

polymarket · 0xd929b4d098cb1030aef86e16615fc81a3bb43a1383574cc71de8733eab658567

4¢
$140$0

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

903.6%

IY (No)

100.4%

Adj IY

904%

CRI

3

RV

29469%

VR

12.35

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

903.6%
100.4%
Adj IY
904%
3
RV
29469%
VR
12.35
IAR
0.5/h
Overround
1.9%

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Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.