Club Alianza Atlético vs. América de Cali - More Markets

30-day trend

Analysis

This 25% probability represents the aggregated market assessment of the likelihood for Club Alianza Atlético versus América de Cali in an upcoming sporting matchup. The 10 percentage point gap between Kalshi (18%) and Polymarket (28%) suggests some disagreement about the outcome, potentially reflecting different trader composition or information access across venues. The primary drivers of the current probability level include recent team performance metrics, head-to-head historical records, and current player availability or injury status. The main catalyst for resolving this uncertainty will be the actual match date and result. Until that fixture occurs, markets will likely adjust based on confirmed team lineups, any interim performance by either club, and betting flow updates from major sports data providers.

• ›Polymarket contracts trade 10 percentage points higher than Kalshi equivalents, indicating meaningful disagreement between venue participants on the outcome likelihood
• ›Recent fixture results and goal differential for both Club Alianza Atlético and América de Cali determine baseline performance expectations
• ›Player availability, confirmed injuries, or lineup changes announced immediately before the match typically trigger significant probability shifts
• ›Historical head-to-head records and home/away venue effects establish baseline performance differentials between the two clubs
• ›24-hour trading volume on contracts ranges from $22 to $2,890, with lower-volume contracts potentially reflecting thinner liquidity and wider bid-ask spreads

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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.

How we compute these odds