Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC - More Markets
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 37% across 20 Polymarket contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
—
not bound
Polymarket
37%
20 contracts
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$99
20 contracts
Top contract
23¢
$45 · Polymarket
30-day trend
Bracket families
2 clusters across 20 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Heads-up — heterogeneous clusters
The top two clusters share only 0% of their title tokens — “Beijing Guoan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC” vs “Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC - More Markets”. The headline aggregate weights both, so the number on this page is meaningful only if the clusters resolve to the same question.
Cluster 1
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: Dalian Yingbo FC
0x49cf3f…7a83
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: Draw (Beijing Guoan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC)
0x331ebc…bacc
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0xd0a2f0…02d4
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC - More Markets: Beijing Guoan FC (-1.5)
0x731925…5c99
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0x7eaf4e…d03e
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC - More Markets: Dalian Yingbo FC (-2.5)
0xabf5f0…e2ae
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0x401619…be41
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC - More Markets: Dalian Yingbo FC (-1.5)
0xa820b4…50da
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0xa6bb1f…bbaa
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x3ff606…2e24
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC - More Markets: Beijing Guoan FC (-2.5)
0xbba24f…1e51
Cluster 2
Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC - More Markets
Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0xc6f8d0…d7bf
Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC - More Markets: Yunnan Yukun FC (-1.5)
0x84d2f4…7aaf
Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0xf96b06…6e4f
Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC - More Markets: Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-2.5)
0x5232d6…7de7
Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC - More Markets: Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-1.5)
0xeeea9e…2ed8
Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0xf85773…31fe
Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC - More Markets: Yunnan Yukun FC (-2.5)
0x869a6a…4522
Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0xc0a65a…2079
Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0x0d664c…58cb
What moved the line
- May 3Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-1.5)↑16pp17→33¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-2.5)↑15pp11→26¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Dalian Yingbo FC (-1.5)↑13pp15→28¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Yunnan Yukun FC (-2.5)↑10pp14→24¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Beijing Guoan FC (-2.5)↑9pp20→29¢ · Polymarket
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 23 min ago.