Club Always Ready vs. CA Lanús - More Markets
Leader sits at 73% across 9 bound outcomes, runner-up at 49%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
O/U 1.5
Outcomes
9
winner-take-all
Runner-up
49¢
O/U 2.5
Spread
24pp
contested
24h volume
$0
thin orderbook
Closes
May 6, 2026
2 days
Venue
Polymarket
9 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
Club Always Ready vs. CA Lanús - More Markets
Club Always Ready vs. CA Lanús - More Markets: Club Always Ready (-1.5)
0x2e9327…c801
Club Always Ready vs. CA Lanús - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0xc4d731…309a
Club Always Ready vs. CA Lanús - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0x1e22e5…b421
Club Always Ready vs. CA Lanús - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x2fed3b…46e3
Club Always Ready vs. CA Lanús - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0xeb794d…054a
Club Always Ready vs. CA Lanús - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0x8d310e…5d65
Club Always Ready vs. CA Lanús - More Markets: CA Lanús (-2.5)
0xf04479…77cf
Club Always Ready vs. CA Lanús - More Markets: Club Always Ready (-2.5)
0xc5ba68…5ab4
Club Always Ready vs. CA Lanús - More Markets: CA Lanús (-1.5)
0x1d631a…538c
Analysis
This 30% probability reflects market expectations that CA Lanús will win their upcoming match against Club Always Ready. The current price suggests Club Always Ready is favored at 55 cents, with limited recent trading volume on most contracts. Movement in this probability would depend on team form, head-to-head history, and any roster changes or injury updates before kickoff. The match outcome itself—scheduled for the date specified in the fixture—will definitively resolve this contract. Market pricing across the related contracts shows some differentiation: the Club Always Ready win is valued substantially higher than Lanús at 22 cents, while the derived handicap markets (Club Always Ready at -1.5 odds at 28 cents and Lanús at -1.5 at 11 cents) suggest limited expectation for either team to cover significant spreads.
- ›Club Always Ready contract trades at 55¢ versus CA Lanús at 22¢, indicating home or historical favorites in the matchup
- ›Only $74 in 24-hour volume on the direct Lanús contract suggests limited recent trading activity and potentially soft liquidity
- ›The -1.5 handicap market for Club Always Ready (28¢) compared to Lanús (11¢) shows uncertainty around margin of victory
- ›Related over/under 4.5 goals market at 12¢ indicates expectation of low-scoring outcomes
- ›Multiple derivative contracts exist but show minimal volume, suggesting market participants may lack confidence in current pricing
What moved the line
- May 3Club Always Ready (-2.5)↑5pp15→20¢ · Polymarket
- May 3CA Lanús (-2.5)↑5pp10→15¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Both Teams to Score↓5pp55→50¢ · Polymarket
- May 3CA Lanús (-1.5)↑3pp11→14¢ · Polymarket
Recently closed in general
- Canterbury Rams vs Franklin Bulls WinnerSouthland Sharkslast 65% · 0d
These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 1 min ago.