Fagiano Okayama vs. Sanfrecce Hiroshima - More Markets
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 29% across 20 Polymarket contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
—
not bound
Polymarket
29%
20 contracts
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$0
20 contracts
Top contract
22¢
$0 · Polymarket
30-day trend
Bracket families
2 clusters across 20 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Heads-up — heterogeneous clusters
The top two clusters share only 0% of their title tokens — “V-Varen Nagasaki vs. Fagiano Okayama” vs “Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs. Vissel Kōbe”. The headline aggregate weights both, so the number on this page is meaningful only if the clusters resolve to the same question.
Cluster 1
V-Varen Nagasaki vs. Fagiano Okayama
V-Varen Nagasaki vs. Fagiano Okayama - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x39f384…3efc
V-Varen Nagasaki vs. Fagiano Okayama: Draw (V-Varen Nagasaki vs. Fagiano Okayama)
0xc6a6ba…cf59
V-Varen Nagasaki vs. Fagiano Okayama - More Markets: Fagiano Okayama (-2.5)
0xf65661…1cc3
V-Varen Nagasaki vs. Fagiano Okayama - More Markets: V-Varen Nagasaki (-2.5)
0x939800…62bf
V-Varen Nagasaki vs. Fagiano Okayama - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0x2871c0…c97c
V-Varen Nagasaki vs. Fagiano Okayama - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0x72e6ac…411d
V-Varen Nagasaki vs. Fagiano Okayama - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0x07a435…b319
V-Varen Nagasaki vs. Fagiano Okayama - More Markets: V-Varen Nagasaki (-1.5)
0xa74e60…fec0
V-Varen Nagasaki vs. Fagiano Okayama - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x716f77…c36d
V-Varen Nagasaki vs. Fagiano Okayama - More Markets: Fagiano Okayama (-1.5)
0x1b0ea4…e439
Cluster 2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs. Vissel Kōbe
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs. Vissel Kōbe - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0x46afc0…7592
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs. Vissel Kōbe: Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0x1c22d5…7c68
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs. Vissel Kōbe - More Markets: Vissel Kōbe (-1.5)
0xc674e6…b72c
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs. Vissel Kōbe - More Markets: Vissel Kōbe (-2.5)
0x0dd98d…b64e
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs. Vissel Kōbe - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x840caa…6f30
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs. Vissel Kōbe - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0xced570…3f21
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs. Vissel Kōbe - More Markets: Sanfrecce Hiroshima (-2.5)
0x838893…f108
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs. Vissel Kōbe - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0xa5be96…39c2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs. Vissel Kōbe - More Markets: Sanfrecce Hiroshima (-1.5)
0x5cd99b…877d
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs. Vissel Kōbe - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0xdfd081…ff31
What moved the line
- May 3Vissel Kōbe (-2.5)↑15pp11→26¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Vissel Kōbe (-1.5)↑14pp12→26¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Sanfrecce Hiroshima (-2.5)↑9pp9→18¢ · Polymarket
- May 2Sanfrecce Hiroshima↑6pp43→49¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Fagiano Okayama (-2.5)↑4pp28→32¢ · Polymarket
Recently closed in general
- Canterbury Rams vs Franklin Bulls WinnerSouthland Sharkslast 65% · 0d
These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
More like this
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In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 1 min ago.