Nagoya Grampus vs. Fagiano Okayama - More Markets
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 30% across 20 Polymarket contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
—
not bound
Polymarket
30%
20 contracts
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$5
20 contracts
Top contract
38¢
$5 · Polymarket
30-day trend
Bracket families
2 clusters across 20 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Heads-up — heterogeneous clusters
The top two clusters share only 0% of their title tokens — “Nagoya Grampus vs. Gamba Ōsaka” vs “V-Varen Nagasaki vs. Fagiano Okayama”. The headline aggregate weights both, so the number on this page is meaningful only if the clusters resolve to the same question.
Cluster 1
Nagoya Grampus vs. Gamba Ōsaka
Nagoya Grampus vs. Gamba Ōsaka: Nagoya Grampus
0x25132a…c79e
Nagoya Grampus vs. Gamba Ōsaka - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x164f65…9ef8
Nagoya Grampus vs. Gamba Ōsaka - More Markets: Gamba Ōsaka (-1.5)
0x97c68a…0456
Nagoya Grampus vs. Gamba Ōsaka - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0x6cfc8d…7b8f
Nagoya Grampus vs. Gamba Ōsaka - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0xe57d5e…f288
Nagoya Grampus vs. Gamba Ōsaka - More Markets: Gamba Ōsaka (-2.5)
0xa41811…3aa9
Nagoya Grampus vs. Gamba Ōsaka - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0xec59e7…8852
Nagoya Grampus vs. Gamba Ōsaka - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0xc12420…a052
Nagoya Grampus vs. Gamba Ōsaka - More Markets: Nagoya Grampus (-1.5)
0x0524ea…9f8d
Nagoya Grampus vs. Gamba Ōsaka - More Markets: Nagoya Grampus (-2.5)
0x0a8118…d88b
Cluster 2
V-Varen Nagasaki vs. Fagiano Okayama
V-Varen Nagasaki vs. Fagiano Okayama - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x39f384…3efc
V-Varen Nagasaki vs. Fagiano Okayama: Fagiano Okayama
0x63a827…8c8d
V-Varen Nagasaki vs. Fagiano Okayama - More Markets: Fagiano Okayama (-1.5)
0x1b0ea4…e439
V-Varen Nagasaki vs. Fagiano Okayama - More Markets: Fagiano Okayama (-2.5)
0xf65661…1cc3
V-Varen Nagasaki vs. Fagiano Okayama - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0x72e6ac…411d
V-Varen Nagasaki vs. Fagiano Okayama - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0x2871c0…c97c
V-Varen Nagasaki vs. Fagiano Okayama - More Markets: V-Varen Nagasaki (-1.5)
0xa74e60…fec0
V-Varen Nagasaki vs. Fagiano Okayama - More Markets: V-Varen Nagasaki (-2.5)
0x939800…62bf
V-Varen Nagasaki vs. Fagiano Okayama - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0x07a435…b319
V-Varen Nagasaki vs. Fagiano Okayama - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x716f77…c36d
What moved the line
- May 3Fagiano Okayama (-2.5)↑4pp28→32¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Nagoya Grampus (-2.5)↑3pp34→37¢ · Polymarket
- May 3O/U 4.5↑3pp31→34¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Gamba Ōsaka (-1.5)↑3pp30→33¢ · Polymarket
Recently closed in general
- Canterbury Rams vs Franklin Bulls WinnerSouthland Sharkslast 65% · 0d
These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
More like this
Adjacent prediction questions.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 2 min ago.