SimpleFunctions
Winner-take-all · 20 outcomes20 contractsPolymarketrefreshed 6 min ago

What price will Dogecoin hit in April?

Bracket↑ 0.15

Leader sits at 53% across 20 bound outcomes, runner-up at 48%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.

Leader probability

53%

↑ 0.16

runner-up 48¢leader 53¢

Outcomes

20

winner-take-all

Runner-up

48¢

↓ 55,000

Spread

5pp

contested

24h volume

$71K

liquid

Closes

not derived

Venue

Polymarket

20 bound

30-day trend

0%50%100%-30d-3w-2w-1wtoday↑ 0.16: 48% (26 days, 23 points)↑ 0.16: 48% on 2026-05-03↓ 55,000: 49% (26 days, 26 points)↓ 55,000: 49% on 2026-05-03↓ 1,500: 48% (26 days, 26 points)↓ 1,500: 48% on 2026-05-03
↑ 0.1648¢↓ 55,00049¢↓ 1,50048¢
Top 3 candidates by current price · 26d

Bracket family

How the bracket ladder is priced.

Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.

Cluster 1

What price

20 contracts$71K
OutcomePrice24hVolumeVenueDetail

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?: ↓ 45,000

0x024b68…6fee

30¢2pp$31KP

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?: ↓ 40,000

0x1e5564…baa2

22¢1pp$13KP

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?: ↓ 50,000

0xce3c54…2c56

40¢4pp$10KP

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?: ↑ 110,000

0x63eaf4…7b01

26¢+1pp$7KP

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?: ↓ 55,000

0x752fa6…8a8c

48¢1pp$7KP

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?: ↓ 35,000

0x2745c3…a2a2

14¢±0$2KP

What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?: ↓ 1,500

0xcf25cc…9780

48¢+2pp$360P

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?: ↑ 200,000

0xac32e7…68cd

4¢8pp$299P

What price will Dogecoin hit in 2026?: ↑ 0.16

0xc2eb25…dbd0

53¢±0$0P

What price will Dogecoin hit in 2026?: ↑ 0.20

0x7f1210…3fdf

32¢1pp$0P

What price will Dogecoin hit in 2026?: ↑ 0.48

0x98ed45…f808

10¢+28pp$0P

What price will Dogecoin hit in 2026?: ↑ 0.40

0x02e635…ff31

12¢+33pp$0P

What price will Dogecoin hit in 2026?: ↑ 0.28

0x6334f1…8d28

17¢±0$0P

What price will Dogecoin hit in 2026?: ↑ 0.52

0x668b1a…5d28

6¢1pp$0P

What price will Dogecoin hit in 2026?: ↑ 0.32

0x1ae135…94e6

13¢±0$0P

What price will Dogecoin hit in 2026?: ↑ 0.24

0x1eef86…d215

21¢1pp$0P

What price will Dogecoin hit in 2026?: ↓ 0.02

0xac3d88…acfc

15¢±0$0P

What price will Dogecoin hit in 2026?: ↑ 0.36

0xfd82f5…bc08

11¢1pp$0P

What price will Dogecoin hit in 2026?: ↑ 0.44

0x257eb5…24c1

12¢33pp$0P

What price will Dogecoin hit in 2026?: ↓ 0.06

0x39cdaf…7aff

36¢2pp$0P

What moved the line

  • Apr 28↑ 0.4435pp1045¢ · Polymarket
  • May 2↑ 0.4433pp4512¢ · Polymarket
  • Apr 28↑ 0.4033pp1144¢ · Polymarket
  • Apr 28↑ 0.4828pp836¢ · Polymarket
  • Apr 28↑ 0.3627pp1037¢ · Polymarket

Recently closed in general

These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.

More like this

Adjacent prediction questions.

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.

Last updated on this page: 6 min ago.