2026 Midterms: Democrats Poised for House Sweep, Senate a Coin Flip

Democrats are priced at 85¢ to win the House and 51¢ for the Senate. The 'Democrats Sweep' outcome leads at 51¢ in the Balance of Power market. Notably, Texas is seeing unexpected movement with the Senate race at 44¢ Democrat and the Governor race shifting +9¢ toward Democrats. Trump's approval could fall below 35% (36¢ probability).