Russia Advancing on Donbas — Kostyantynivka Capture by June at 62%

Russian forces appear to be accelerating their advance with Kostyantynivka capture by April jumping 5 cents to 22% and by June at 62%. Meanwhile, the Ukraine ceasefire by March 31 resolved at 0% and the before-2027 ceasefire sits at only 30%. Peace deal odds remain low at 25%. The war trajectory markets point to continued Russian territorial gains.