2026 Midterms: Democrats Building a Wave — 86% for House, 51% for Democrat Sweep

Democrats are overwhelming favorites to take the House at 86% and a Democrat Sweep of both chambers is the single most likely midterm outcome at 51%. The Texas governor race saw a surprising 9¢ Democratic surge. With Trump's approval rating markets showing 36% chance of hitting 35%, the political environment is deteriorating rapidly for Republicans.