Treasury Yields Signal Growing Recession Fear
The 10-year Treasury yield reaching 3.9% market jumped 14¢ in a single day while S&P 500 dropped 0.44% and TLT rose nearly 1%. Combined with US recession odds at 31¢ and Fed holding at 98¢ in April, markets are pricing a slowdown without near-term Fed relief. Oil surging 4.4% adds stagflation risk.
Explore
sf query "fed rate cuts 2026"