US-Iran at Coin Flip — Highest Geopolitical Risk Market

Will the US invade Iran before 2027 is sitting at 52¢ with massive volume ($204K), making it the single highest-risk geopolitical binary in prediction markets. Iran nuclear test at 13¢, NPT withdrawal at 28¢, and the nuclear deal at 46¢ form a constellation suggesting traders see a roughly even chance of military vs diplomatic resolution.