The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
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| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
Eric Swalwell | 53.5% |
Steve Hilton | 40.5% |
Tom Steyer | 23.0% |
Katie Porter | 22.5% |
Chad Bianco | 19.0% |
Ché Ahn | 15.9% |
Jimmy Parker | 15.0% |
Antonio Villaraigosa | 13.0% |
Sophia Brink | 9.3% |
Betty Yee | 7.5% |
Ryan Tillman | 6.0% |
Tony Thurmond | 6.0% |
Brandon Jones | 5.5% |
Ian Calderon | 5.5% |
Xavier Becerra | 5.1% |
Derek Grasty | 4.5% |
Butch Ware | 4.3% |
Dylan Colbert | 3.8% |
Zoltan Istvan | 3.7% |
Leonard Jackson | 3.6% |
Nicki Minaj | 3.6% |
Carolina Buhler | 3.5% |
Thunder Parley | 3.5% |
Raji Rab | 3.4% |
Leo Zacky | 2.9% |
David Serpa | 2.8% |
Ramsey Robinson | 2.8% |
Sharifah Hardie | 2.8% |
David Thelen | 2.8% |
Daniel Mercuri | 2.8% |
Kyle Langford | 2.7% |
CurrentJaven Allen | 2.7% |
Nicholas Thompson | 2.4% |
Ethan Agarwal | 1.8% |
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| 5.0% |
| $49,086 |
| Trade |
Kalshi | 1.0% | $8,919 | Trade |
Kalshi | 50.0% | $0 | Trade |
Kalshi | 1.0% | $123 | Trade |