The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
Eric Swalwell | 64.0% |
Steve Hilton | 45.5% |
Chad Bianco | 36.5% |
CurrentKatie Porter | 28.0% |
Tom Steyer | 22.0% |
Matt Mahan | 14.5% |
Javen Allen | 12.3% |
Betty Yee | 9.5% |
Xavier Becerra | 9.3% |
Antonio Villaraigosa | 7.5% |
Sharifah Hardie | 7.5% |
Tony Thurmond | 6.5% |
Brandon Jones | 5.5% |
Sophia Brink | 5.3% |
Ryan Tillman | 4.5% |
Derek Grasty | 4.5% |
Ian Calderon | 4.5% |
Nicki Minaj | 4.5% |
Jimmy Parker | 4.3% |
David Thelen | 3.6% |
Ethan Agarwal | 3.5% |
Dylan Colbert | 3.4% |
Ché Ahn | 2.9% |
Daniel Mercuri | 2.8% |
Zoltan Istvan | 2.8% |
David Serpa | 2.6% |
Leo Zacky | 2.4% |
Ramsey Robinson | 2.4% |
Kyle Langford | 2.3% |
Carolina Buhler | 2.3% |
Nicholas Thompson | 2.3% |
Butch Ware | 2.1% |
Leonard Jackson | 2.1% |
Thunder Parley | 1.9% |
Raji Rab | 1.8% |