This is a polymarket to predict which player is drafted #1 overall in the 2026 NFL Draft. If the listed player is drafted first overall in the 2026 NFL Draft, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or not completed by July 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
Fernando Mendoza | 94.0% |
Arvell Reese | 1.1% |
Francis Mauigoa | 0.7% |
Rueben Bain Jr | 0.5% |
Dante Moore | 0.5% |
Spencer Fano | 0.5% |
Garrett Nussmeier | 0.5% |
Carson Beck | 0.4% |
Jordyn Tyson | 0.4% |
Ty Simpson | 0.4% |
Caleb Downs | 0.3% |
Arch Manning | 0.3% |
David Bailey | 0.3% |
LT Overton | 0.3% |
Nico Iamaleava | 0.2% |
T.J. Parker | 0.1% |
Keldric Faulk | 0.1% |
Drew Allar | 0.1% |
Aidan Chiles | 0.1% |
CurrentKyron Drones | 0.1% |
Cade Klubnik | 0.1% |
Jayden Maiava | 0.1% |
Caleb Lomu | 0.1% |
Taylen Green | 0.1% |
Raylen Wilson | 0.1% |
LaNorris Sellers | 0.1% |
Sam Leavitt | 0.1% |
John Mateer | 0.1% |
Cashius Howell | 0.1% |
Conner Weigman | 0.1% |
Miller Moss | 0.1% |
Jalon Daniels | 0.1% |
Kadyn Proctor | 0.1% |
Sawyer Robertson | 0.1% |
Matayo Uiagalelei | 0.1% |
Peter Woods | 0.1% |
Player E | 0.0% |
Player L | 0.0% |
Player K | 0.0% |
Player J | 0.0% |
Player I | 0.0% |
Player H | 0.0% |
Player G | 0.0% |
Player F | 0.0% |
Other | 0.0% |
Player D | 0.0% |
Player X | 0.0% |
Player Z | 0.0% |
Player W | 0.0% |
Player V | 0.0% |
Player U | 0.0% |
Player T | 0.0% |
Player Y | 0.0% |
Player S | 0.0% |
Player R | 0.0% |
Player Q | 0.0% |
Player P | 0.0% |
Player O | 0.0% |
Player N | 0.0% |
Player M | 0.0% |