This is a polymarket to predict which player is drafted #1 overall in the 2026 NFL Draft. If the listed player is drafted first overall in the 2026 NFL Draft, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or not completed by July 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
Fernando Mendoza | 91.0% |
Aidan Chiles | 1.5% |
Carson Beck | 1.1% |
Ty Simpson | 0.8% |
Dante Moore | 0.7% |
Drew Allar | 0.6% |
Rueben Bain Jr | 0.6% |
Sam Leavitt | 0.4% |
Arvell Reese | 0.4% |
Miller Moss | 0.3% |
Caleb Lomu | 0.3% |
Kyron Drones | 0.3% |
David Bailey | 0.3% |
Sawyer Robertson | 0.3% |
Raylen Wilson | 0.1% |
LaNorris Sellers | 0.1% |
Cade Klubnik | 0.1% |
Arch Manning | 0.1% |
Peter Woods | 0.1% |
Keldric Faulk | 0.1% |
T.J. Parker | 0.1% |
Kadyn Proctor | 0.1% |
John Mateer | 0.1% |
Spencer Fano | 0.1% |
LT Overton | 0.1% |
Jayden Maiava | 0.1% |
Matayo Uiagalelei | 0.1% |
Francis Mauigoa | 0.1% |
Caleb Downs | 0.1% |
Jordyn Tyson | 0.1% |
Jalon Daniels | 0.1% |
Nico Iamaleava | 0.1% |
Garrett Nussmeier | 0.1% |
Taylen Green | 0.1% |
Conner Weigman | 0.1% |
Cashius Howell | 0.1% |
Player V | 0.0% |
Player Q | 0.0% |
Player P | 0.0% |
Player U | 0.0% |
Player W | 0.0% |
Player O | 0.0% |
Player T | 0.0% |
Player Y | 0.0% |
Player S | 0.0% |
CurrentOther | 0.0% |
Player N | 0.0% |
Player M | 0.0% |
Player X | 0.0% |
Player D | 0.0% |
Player E | 0.0% |
Player F | 0.0% |
Player G | 0.0% |
Player H | 0.0% |
Player I | 0.0% |
Player J | 0.0% |
Player K | 0.0% |
Player L | 0.0% |
Player Z | 0.0% |
Player R | 0.0% |