Spread: Al Okhdood SC (-2.5)

This market shows extreme distress signals with the Yes price collapsing 77% over seven days (from 43¢ to 10¢) while maintaining zero 24-hour volume, suggesting the position may be illiquid or abandoned. The astronomical 54,997% implied yield on Yes combined with a Cliff Risk Index of 9 and 1,446% realized volatility indicates this is likely a dead or near-resolution market where the outcome has become heavily skewed toward No (Al Okhdood failing to win by 3+ goals). With only 6 days to expiry and a 14¢ bid-ask spread on a 10¢ mid-price, any remaining liquidity appears extremely thin and potentially toxic.

Resolution rules

In the upcoming Saudi Professional League game, scheduled for April 23 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Al Okhdood SC" if Al Okhdood SC win the game by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Damac Saudi Club". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on slstat.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

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Trade