Will Michelle Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Prediction markets currently give a 0% probability that Will Michelle Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?. This contract trades at 0¢ on Polymarket, closing October 4, 2026.
Also on kalshi at 3¢(Δ -3¢)
Resolution rules
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Regime
Trade
sf trade 0x100bfbd547cdb8782f816235d4f7d4301ec473250f4df606e6809605cdb3b5e9 yes 100