SimpleFunctions

China · Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027

China is priced at 1¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 1¢ bid, 1¢ ask, 0¢ spread. This outcome ranks #7 of 14 inside Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?.

Price history

1¢ current

+1¢
0¢5¢
May 7, 2026May 24, 2026

Contract brief

This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no meeting takes place by December 31 ET, this market will resolve to "No meeting before 2027". A meeting is defined as any encounter where Zelenskyy and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person. For the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Outcome

China

Rank

#7 of 14

Leader

No meeting before 2027 81¢

Range

0¢-81¢

Family volume

$2.5M

Identifier

0x1219cce4...14a4

Jun 5, 2026, 11:58 PM UTC · 0m ago

Implied probability

1¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 5, 2026, 11:58 PM UTC · 0m ago

Bid

Ask

Spread

24h volume

$8

Family rank

#7 of 14

14 outcomes · Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?

Closes

Dec 31, 2026

Family volume

$2.5M

Orderbook snapshot

1 / 1¢

Polymarket
0¢ spread
BidSize
100¢615
0¢40K
0¢5.5K
0¢3.0K
0¢400
AskSize
2¢100
2¢141
2¢5
3¢10
3¢30
100¢5
100¢6
100¢17

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no meeting takes place by December 31 ET, this market will resolve to "No meeting before 2027". A meeting is defined as any encounter where Zelenskyy and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person. For the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Dec 31, 2026

Identifier

0x1219cce4…14a4

SF Signal
Regime
neutral

Cross-venue match

Similar contract on kalshi at , -3¢ versus this page.

View counterpart

Event family

Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$2.5M

Outcomes

14

Highest price

No meeting before 2027 81¢

Current share

2%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.409

Observability

low

Event type

political

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.