Will LedgerX self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?

Prediction markets currently give a 50% probability that Will LedgerX self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?. This contract trades at 50¢ on Polymarket, closing June 30, 2026.

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50¢
Bid/Ask 28/72¢·Spread 44¢·Vol $154.917·OI $605.195·Closes Jun 30, 2026·65d remaining
0x17667b0949acd796d8e446f39777d1f45956c5d6750a4693b43fdb615ed14c0e
7-day price496 snapshots · 4 regime
72¢50¢ current
Apr 2329¢Apr 26

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Designated Contract Market (DCM) self-certifies sports-related event-based contracts with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information released by the CFTC or the respective DCM; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 563.8%
IY (No) 563.8%
Adj IY 361%
CRI 1
RV 3624%
VR 13.97
▶ Full indicator table (9)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)563.8%
IY (No)563.8%
Adj IY361%
CRI1
RV3624%
VR13.97
IAR9.0/h
Overround1.3%
LAS0.36

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Computed
4/26/2026, 6:07:53 AM
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/26/2026, 6:08:50 AM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x17667b0949acd796d8e446f39777d1f45956c5d6750a4693b43fdb615ed14c0e yes 100

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