Will Powell say "Goods inflation" during April press conference?

Prediction markets currently give a 65% probability that Will Powell say "Goods inflation" during April press conference?. This contract trades at 65¢ on Polymarket, closing April 29, 2026.

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65¢
Bid/Ask 63/66¢·Spread 3¢·Vol $30.347·OI $750.074·Closes Apr 29, 2026·1d remaining
0x259436135d97d4d4a8d6e711af661b84544aa6037b91a5a941441aa204ae6da2
7-day price95 snapshots · 2 regime
65¢65¢ current
Apr 2659¢Apr 28
Cross-venue

Also on kalshi at 65¢0¢)

View counterpart →Match confidence 0.88IY 9007.3%Close-time delta 38h

Resolution rules

Jerome Powell is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on April 29, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Powell says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If no such statement happens by April 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 32866.0%
IY (No) >100,000%
Adj IY 43000%
CRI 2
RV 247%
VR 0.13
▶ Full indicator table (8)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)32866.0%
IY (No)>100,000%
Adj IY43000%
CRI2
RV247%
VR0.13
IAR1.7/h
Overround6.3%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
3¢
Computed
4/28/2026, 9:46:04 AM
Indicators computed 4/28/2026, 9:38:24 AM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x259436135d97d4d4a8d6e711af661b84544aa6037b91a5a941441aa204ae6da2 yes 100

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