Will SpaceX have between 120-139 launches in 2026?
Prediction markets currently give a 4% probability that Will SpaceX have between 120-139 launches in 2026?. This contract trades at 4¢ on Polymarket, closing December 31, 2026.
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4¢Bid/Ask 2/6¢·Spread 4¢·Vol $0·OI $2,958.073·Closes Dec 31, 2026·253d remaining
0x29bb6476b63fda2d1324cfb123652c018057e1ba1565e07482e945a24b334816
7-day price309 snapshots · 8 regime
14¢4¢ current
Apr 82¢Apr 21
Cross-venue
Also on kalshi at 96¢(Δ -92¢)
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between January 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.
Indicators
Regime
Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
4¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 8:27:24 PM
Indicators computed 4/21/2026, 8:23:18 PM
Trade
View on polymarket →
sf trade 0x29bb6476b63fda2d1324cfb123652c018057e1ba1565e07482e945a24b334816 yes 100