Will Lyon qualify to MSI 2026?

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and a massive 53¢ spread, making the 64¢ price potentially unreliable for actual trading. The asymmetric implied yields (236.8% for Yes vs. 748.3% for No) suggest the market is heavily skewed toward the No side despite the price implying 64% probability, indicating potential mispricing or that sophisticated traders are positioning for Lyon's non-qualification. With only $275.18 open interest and 87 days to resolution, this appears to be a thin, speculative market where price discovery is limited and execution would be difficult.

Resolution rules

The MSI 2026 (Mid-Season Invitational) is scheduled to take place from June 26 to July 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to which teams qualify for MSI 2026. If the listed team officially qualifies as one of the teams invited to MSI 2026, the market will resolve to "Yes." Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Ties in standings will be broken according to the official LoL Esports rules. If MSI 2026 is canceled, postponed indefinitely, or if the official list of MSI 2026 participants is not published before August 1, 2026, ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source will be official information from the LoL Esports website (https://lolesports.com). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/Mid-Season_Invitational/2026) may also be used.

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