Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?

The Odyssey is priced at 52¢ with extremely elevated realized volatility of 702% and a vol ratio of 7.91, suggesting significant uncertainty or potential mispricing relative to historical patterns. The market has surged 30% over seven days (from 40¢ to 52¢) on modest $109k daily volume, while the 4¢ spread and $1.1M open interest indicate reasonable liquidity despite the sharp price movement. With 318 days until resolution and an implied yield of 106% on the yes side, this appears to be a speculative position on a film whose Oscar nomination prospects may still be highly uncertain or subject to major information arrivals (1.7 per hour).

Resolution rules

The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film. In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order. If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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