Disclosure Day · Which film will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards
Disclosure Day is priced at 11¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 4¢ bid, 17¢ ask, 13¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 8 inside Which film will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?.
Price history
11¢ current
+1¢Contract brief
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film. In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order. If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Outcome
Disclosure Day
Rank
#5 of 8
Leader
The Odyssey 47¢
Range
1¢-47¢
Family volume
$20K
Identifier
0x7820fd1e...2430
Jun 8, 2026, 10:08 AM UTC · 10m ago
Implied probability
Bid
4¢
Ask
17¢
Spread
13¢
Reported volume
$3K
Family rank
#5 of 8
8 outcomes · Which film will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?
Closes
Feb 28, 2027
Family volume
$20K
Orderbook snapshot
4 / 17¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film. In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order. If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Feb 28, 2027
Identifier
0x7820fd1e…2430
Cross-venue match
Similar contract on kalshi at 32¢, -21¢ versus this page.
Event family
Which film will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$20K
Outcomes
8
Highest price
The Odyssey 47¢
Current share
15%
The Odyssey
polymarket · 0x409d7e08b28d9b828fd71478c470055da1be83e55435edc569427cd9e300e161
Dune: Messiah
polymarket · 0xa7d02a01ae63cbaa3e01d31333c43018f27b49a3c99b57e13a4ac7ebbacce1f8
The Social Reckoning
polymarket · 0x30f0abcca4045359388feecfec803916f6f7b04e8df123614e533586fe78121d
Wild Horse Nine
polymarket · 0x1daa2f31b7526baf4604eacd2c3e6c14d798862486b2939480593001eb64aef3
Disclosure Day
polymarket · 0x7820fd1e1090197acfe7f26b935baa491d1594c0982a37c3c0ca22323fb62430
Project Hail Mary
polymarket · 0x1a7c6656098abf4de8e475bd097ab63e6fba250a5dde06221bc5c762bf0a7d9e
Wuthering Heights
polymarket · 0x9930de4bd20494cd01234d7f8137defd6903178b9ba423cb8ed151f80081a3f7
The Bride!
polymarket · 0x75a62bb76932c5e4e5cb3c640353233bc18e2e8690ff6679beac155616286669
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
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