SimpleFunctions
PolymarketDec 31, 2026236 days left

Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?

This contract is priced at 11¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 10¢ bid, 11¢ ask, 1¢ spread.

Implied probability

11¢
$48K volume
$24K liquidity
15% of event volume

Event outcomes

2

Family volume

$322K

Best sibling

June 30 2¢

Ticker

0x46a62442…63bb

Market snapshot

Before 2027 in market context.

This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?. The displayed quote is 11¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $263. In the Will Tim Walz resign by...? family, this outcome ranks #1 of 2 by current quote across 2 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 9:23 AM UTC.

Outcome

Before 2027

Family rank

#1 of 2

Venue

Polymarket

Current quote

11¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Dec 31, 2026

24h volume

$263

Family context

2 outcomes · Will Tim Walz resign by...?

Quote range

2¢-11¢

Family leader

Before 2027 11¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 9:23 AM UTC · 11m ago

Venue identifier: 0x46a62442a96f6b6aec25b369d6dee763aaa5c47dc7d3750ad1ed0a6039ba63bb. Family volume: $322K.

Price history

11¢ current

+2¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 10, 2026May 7, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

10 / 11¢

Polymarket
1¢ spread
BidSize
100¢900
10¢942
8¢3.2K
6¢7
5¢779
3¢15
2¢1.1K
AskSize
11¢4.8K
12¢5.1K
14¢75
23¢860
47¢170
50¢200
51¢637
55¢333

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tim Walz announces he has resigned or will resign as Governor of Minnesota by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If it becomes impossible for Tim Walz to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Tim Walz announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government or the government of Minnesota; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Dec 31, 2026

Identifier

0x46a62442…63bb

Cross-venue match

Similar contract on kalshi at 16¢, -5¢ versus this page.

View counterpart

Event family

Will Tim Walz resign by.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$322K

Outcomes

2

Highest price

Before 2027 11¢

Current share

15%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

1253.4%
19.1%
Adj IY
570%
8
LAS
0.09

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