Will "FATHERLAND by Pawel PAWLIKOWSKI" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?
This contract is priced at 14¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 11¢ bid, 17¢ ask, 6¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
16
Family volume
$2K
Best sibling
SHEEP IN THE BOX by KORE-EDA Hirokazu 3¢
Ticker
0x665a03f2…42b5
Market snapshot
FATHERLAND by Pawel PAWLIKOWSKI in market context.
This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will "FATHERLAND by Pawel PAWLIKOWSKI" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?. The displayed quote is 14¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $63. In the Cannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner family, this outcome ranks #12 of 16 by current quote across 16 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 9:08 AM UTC.
Outcome
FATHERLAND by Pawel PAWLIKOWSKI
Family rank
#12 of 16
Venue
Polymarket
Current quote
14¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until May 23, 2026
Reported volume
$63
Family context
16 outcomes · Cannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner
Quote range
3¢-30¢
Family leader
GENTLE MONSTER by Marie KREUTZER 30¢
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 9:08 AM UTC · 2m ago
Venue identifier: 0x665a03f2fa0f1e8ebb595d107b6b79059ab74231b4b3aea44bc873bc78e042b5. Family volume: $2K.
Price history
14¢ current
−14¢Orderbook snapshot
11 / 17¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
The Cannes Film Festival is held annually in Cannes, France. The 2026 Cannes Film Festival is scheduled to be held on May 23, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the Palme d'Or award at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed film whose title comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the broadcast of the Cannes Film Festival and the official Cannes Film Festival website (https://www.festival-cannes.com/en/live/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
May 23, 2026
Identifier
0x665a03f2…42b5
Cross-venue match
Similar contract on kalshi at 8¢, +6¢ versus this page.
Event family
Cannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$2K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
GENTLE MONSTER by Marie KREUTZER 30¢
Current share
3%
FATHERLAND by Pawel PAWLIKOWSKI
polymarket · 0x665a03f2fa0f1e8ebb595d107b6b79059ab74231b4b3aea44bc873bc78e042b5
SHEEP IN THE BOX by KORE-EDA Hirokazu
polymarket · 0x3ec21df3f56f1b9109c969c3a32c1795adc7c5b983bf2d752f2db3b9824d2ac1
ALL OF A SUDDEN by HAMAGUCHI Ryusuke
polymarket · 0x017c11efc5e718698db5e8137ce125495a7d60f81a532f62df4c7b2c2cf33af4
HOPE by NA Hong-jin
polymarket · 0xf3125ec8969ad69cc5b8609f39d1ff8236b9938bb02698cbc9d4aaea42106135
MINOTAUR by Andrey ZVYAGINTSEV
polymarket · 0x4a5721cb581749201696b269a2f4af5d6c0fdf44d1e2d236606df912c39d17f2
LA BOLA NEGRA by Javier CALVO & Javier AMBROSSI
polymarket · 0x0870fd2456996da2ec54fe09cc75f616a4a5dbf6241da7d5953aa0087e9b46b7
FJORD by Cristian MUNGIU
polymarket · 0xf0ecfbeb8c37a3a6e7a9ee400495a96e4630827a1a24009758f8ce63e051b86f
PARALLEL TALES by Asghar FARHADI
polymarket · 0xb4ead6a07e44ddc4af881ccb3dbda1c50347617be69a0a8afdbb09aa18399994
AMARGA NAVIDAD by Pedro ALMODÓVAR
polymarket · 0x6d664798c7c0e1c80b96cf796f2bf054be43d843598e71e88235aad35a0a61e2
COWARD by Lukas DHONT
polymarket · 0xbe8bb88e288d9cc7fde7862f72ba6aab59dbd37f2ff9c0d28f8653625b321cfe
THE UNKNOWN by Arthur HARARI
polymarket · 0xe4c10f2aacfa409408bfc0320c9ce832d40c8240c87f7f345abb1fb8ddc430ef
GENTLE MONSTER by Marie KREUTZER
polymarket · 0xe2f2cb784d51fcbae6c9b3f714a19368d1d0015d945960e2490b6bd47bd0e614
DAS GETRÄUMTE ABENTEUER by Valeska GRISEBACH
polymarket · 0x5112d74db988dd7b6c50abd58ced005254ded278e0164e93a98416702d151532
NAGI NOTES by FUKADA Koji
polymarket · 0x1c8c609baa7e6e5c37b3e226d725e3f284c152e8048f61000831579a53258ac6
NOTRE SALUT by Emmanuel MARRE
polymarket · 0x17e2d8fbd31eeada73e3876cbe21667e6b5a19c576b870234f5d91873b3e85b3
THE BIRTHDAY PARTY by Léa MYSIUS
polymarket · 0xccc272b9bd720afa89f29a37823b35ed4a2ea37b28642e2db0d45de69713b636
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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