SimpleFunctions
PolymarketMay 23, 202614 days left

Will "ALL OF A SUDDEN by HAMAGUCHI Ryusuke" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?

This contract is priced at 13¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 11¢ bid, 15¢ ask, 4¢ spread.

Implied probability

13¢
$508 volume
$841 liquidity
20% of event volume

Event outcomes

16

Family volume

$2K

Best sibling

SHEEP IN THE BOX by KORE-EDA Hirokazu 4¢

Ticker

0x017c11ef…3af4

Market snapshot

ALL OF A SUDDEN by HAMAGUCHI Ryusuke in market context.

This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will "ALL OF A SUDDEN by HAMAGUCHI Ryusuke" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?. The displayed quote is 13¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $10. In the Cannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner family, this outcome ranks #13 of 16 by current quote across 16 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 10:38 AM UTC.

Outcome

ALL OF A SUDDEN by HAMAGUCHI Ryusuke

Family rank

#13 of 16

Venue

Polymarket

Current quote

13¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until May 23, 2026

24h volume

$10

Family context

16 outcomes · Cannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner

Quote range

4¢-23¢

Family leader

HOPE by NA Hong-jin 23¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 10:38 AM UTC · 3m ago

Venue identifier: 0x017c11efc5e718698db5e8137ce125495a7d60f81a532f62df4c7b2c2cf33af4. Family volume: $2K.

Price history

13¢ current

5¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 8, 2026May 9, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

11 / 15¢

Polymarket
4¢ spread
BidSize
11¢10
10¢7
9¢30
8¢10
7¢103
5¢14
4¢250
3¢100
AskSize
15¢100
16¢7
17¢100
33¢15
46¢30
47¢20
49¢20
50¢30

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

The Cannes Film Festival is held annually in Cannes, France. The 2026 Cannes Film Festival is scheduled to be held on May 23, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the Palme d'Or award at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed film whose title comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the broadcast of the Cannes Film Festival and the official Cannes Film Festival website (https://www.festival-cannes.com/en/live/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

May 23, 2026

Identifier

0x017c11ef…3af4

Event family

Cannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$2K

Outcomes

16

Highest price

HOPE by NA Hong-jin 23¢

Current share

20%

OutcomePriceVolume24hDepth

ALL OF A SUDDEN by HAMAGUCHI Ryusuke

polymarket · 0x017c11efc5e718698db5e8137ce125495a7d60f81a532f62df4c7b2c2cf33af4

13¢$508$10

SHEEP IN THE BOX by KORE-EDA Hirokazu

polymarket · 0x3ec21df3f56f1b9109c969c3a32c1795adc7c5b983bf2d752f2db3b9824d2ac1

4¢$642$57

HOPE by NA Hong-jin

polymarket · 0xf3125ec8969ad69cc5b8609f39d1ff8236b9938bb02698cbc9d4aaea42106135

23¢$604$370

MINOTAUR by Andrey ZVYAGINTSEV

polymarket · 0x4a5721cb581749201696b269a2f4af5d6c0fdf44d1e2d236606df912c39d17f2

19¢$351$3271.4

LA BOLA NEGRA by Javier CALVO & Javier AMBROSSI

polymarket · 0x0870fd2456996da2ec54fe09cc75f616a4a5dbf6241da7d5953aa0087e9b46b7

8¢$125$0

FATHERLAND by Pawel PAWLIKOWSKI

polymarket · 0x665a03f2fa0f1e8ebb595d107b6b79059ab74231b4b3aea44bc873bc78e042b5

14¢$63$00.4

FJORD by Cristian MUNGIU

polymarket · 0xf0ecfbeb8c37a3a6e7a9ee400495a96e4630827a1a24009758f8ce63e051b86f

13¢$45$0

PARALLEL TALES by Asghar FARHADI

polymarket · 0xb4ead6a07e44ddc4af881ccb3dbda1c50347617be69a0a8afdbb09aa18399994

22¢$36$02.3

AMARGA NAVIDAD by Pedro ALMODÓVAR

polymarket · 0x6d664798c7c0e1c80b96cf796f2bf054be43d843598e71e88235aad35a0a61e2

23¢$29$0

COWARD by Lukas DHONT

polymarket · 0xbe8bb88e288d9cc7fde7862f72ba6aab59dbd37f2ff9c0d28f8653625b321cfe

20¢$28$0

THE UNKNOWN by Arthur HARARI

polymarket · 0xe4c10f2aacfa409408bfc0320c9ce832d40c8240c87f7f345abb1fb8ddc430ef

20¢$21$02.0

GENTLE MONSTER by Marie KREUTZER

polymarket · 0xe2f2cb784d51fcbae6c9b3f714a19368d1d0015d945960e2490b6bd47bd0e614

21¢$21$02.0

DAS GETRÄUMTE ABENTEUER by Valeska GRISEBACH

polymarket · 0x5112d74db988dd7b6c50abd58ced005254ded278e0164e93a98416702d151532

21¢$17$02.0

NAGI NOTES by FUKADA Koji

polymarket · 0x1c8c609baa7e6e5c37b3e226d725e3f284c152e8048f61000831579a53258ac6

20¢$0$02.6

NOTRE SALUT by Emmanuel MARRE

polymarket · 0x17e2d8fbd31eeada73e3876cbe21667e6b5a19c576b870234f5d91873b3e85b3

22¢$0$02.0

THE BIRTHDAY PARTY by Léa MYSIUS

polymarket · 0xccc272b9bd720afa89f29a37823b35ed4a2ea37b28642e2db0d45de69713b636

22¢$0$0

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

18017.9%

IY (No)

402.3%

Adj IY

18018%

CRI

7

RV

3975%

VR

3.72

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

18017.9%
402.3%
Adj IY
18018%
7
RV
3975%
VR
3.72
IAR
2.9/h
Overround
2.9%

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