Will Anyone's Legend win the LPL 2026 season?

Prediction markets currently give a 10% probability that Will Anyone's Legend win the LPL 2026 season?. This contract trades at 10¢ on Polymarket, closing December 31, 2026. The 17-cent price reflects a 17% probability for Anyone's Legend to win the LPL 2026 season, but the Yes position offers an exceptional 690.8% implied yield—nearly 24x the No side's 29.0%—suggesting significant underpricing relative to the team's actual competitive prospects.

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10¢
Bid/Ask 8/11¢·Spread 3¢·Vol $9.879·OI $4,597.401·Closes Dec 31, 2026·252d remaining
0x6820102fd06a43ae0527539a25a4c97ba6e992bfd72912dc6b7bbbd383053669
7-day price107 snapshots · 2 regime
20¢10¢ current
Apr 810¢Apr 22

Analysis

6d ago

The 17-cent price reflects a 17% probability for Anyone's Legend to win the LPL 2026 season, but the Yes position offers an exceptional 690.8% implied yield—nearly 24x the No side's 29.0%—suggesting significant underpricing relative to the team's actual competitive prospects. With only $266.21 in 24-hour volume against $4,294.55 open interest and a 5-cent spread, liquidity is thin for a market with 258 days to expiry, creating potential slippage for larger positions. The modest 1-cent price decline over seven days and neutral regime score indicate stable sentiment, though the high cliff risk index (5) warrants caution given the December 31 resolution deadline could trigger "Other" if the season extends beyond that date.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the League of Legends Pro League (LPL) 2026 season. If the 2026 LPL season is postponed after December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared in this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the LPL league organizers; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 1304.4%
IY (No) 16.1%
Adj IY 652%
CRI 9
Overround -0.1%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)1304.4%
IY (No)16.1%
Adj IY652%
CRI9
Overround-0.1%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.341
Spread
3¢
Computed
4/23/2026, 4:02:25 AM
Observability lowEvent type sports
Indicators computed 4/23/2026, 3:53:23 AM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x6820102fd06a43ae0527539a25a4c97ba6e992bfd72912dc6b7bbbd383053669 yes 100

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