Will Waymo operate in 12 or more cities on June 30 2026?

Prediction markets currently give a 10% probability that Will Waymo operate in 12 or more cities on June 30 2026?. This contract trades at 10¢ on Polymarket, closing June 30, 2026.

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10¢
Bid/Ask 9/11¢·Spread 2¢·Vol $10·OI $3,803.445·Closes Jun 30, 2026·65d remaining
0x6a7b943ce3298492c6a6a6b077e3ef7a17c5280b1c55d57caedf9f589fb83697
7-day price1154 snapshots · 9 regime
43¢10¢ current
Apr 810¢Apr 25

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service provided by Waymo that is available to the general public and operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 5052.7%
IY (No) 62.4%
Adj IY 5053%
CRI 9
RV 1817%
VR 3.42
▶ Full indicator table (8)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)5052.7%
IY (No)62.4%
Adj IY5053%
CRI9
RV1817%
VR3.42
IAR3.2/h
Overround-0.1%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.409
Spread
2¢
Computed
4/25/2026, 11:40:02 PM
Observability mediumEvent type scientific
Indicators computed 4/25/2026, 11:38:52 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x6a7b943ce3298492c6a6a6b077e3ef7a17c5280b1c55d57caedf9f589fb83697 yes 100

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