Will Waymo operate in 11 cities on June 30 2026?

Prediction markets currently give a 52% probability that Will Waymo operate in 11 cities on June 30 2026?. This contract trades at 52¢ on Polymarket, closing June 30, 2026.

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52¢
Bid/Ask 49/55¢·Spread 6¢·Vol $20·OI $1,383.459·Closes Jun 30, 2026·65d remaining
0xdcbb85388b085905980195fcdd3beadf36e59c4b7f67e8969a5fba467a126dc6
7-day price1400 snapshots · 21 regime
61¢53¢ current
Apr 88¢Apr 26

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service provided by Waymo that is available to the general public and operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 539.7%
IY (No) 584.7%
Adj IY 482%
CRI 1
RV 1002%
VR 4.36
▶ Full indicator table (9)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)539.7%
IY (No)584.7%
Adj IY482%
CRI1
RV1002%
VR4.36
IAR4.4/h
Overround-0.1%
LAS0.18

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.432
Spread
6¢
Computed
4/26/2026, 12:47:29 AM
Observability mediumEvent type unknown
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/26/2026, 12:38:51 AM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0xdcbb85388b085905980195fcdd3beadf36e59c4b7f67e8969a5fba467a126dc6 yes 100

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