Will Luis Enrique be appointed as manager of Manchester United?

Luis Enrique's odds have collapsed 43% over the past week (from 7¢ to 4¢), suggesting recent news has substantially reduced his likelihood of landing the Manchester United job. The 3396% implied yield on the Yes side reflects extreme asymmetry typical of long-shot bets, but the zero 24-hour volume and wide 5¢ spread indicate minimal liquidity and difficulty executing trades at the listed price. With 258 days to expiry and a moderate Cliff Risk Index of 24, this market remains sensitive to managerial developments at United, though the current pricing implies the market views Enrique as a highly unlikely candidate relative to other potential contenders.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Manchester United. If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Manchester United; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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